In 1908, when Ford's first T-car opened its production line, it announced that the car has officially moved to market. At that time, the American magazine "TIme" commented: "It is like the world is equipped with wheels. With cars, people can live in the suburbs and work in cities." The Americans also said: "There is no T-car, too. There is no American middle class today.†In any case, the production line of the T-cars not only produces cars, but also the beginning of an era, and at the same time changes the way people travel. Today, more than one hundred years later, the automotive industry is undergoing a second revolution, and electric energy will replace oil. This change is not the way humans travel, the protagonist becomes the car itself.
The core issue in the development of electric vehicles is to provide solutions that use electric alternative oil-driven vehicles without changing the way people travel and accept. To meet the above requirements, the following four points must be achieved.
1. Reliability needs to be greater than or equal to traditional cars;
2. The cruising range must be greater than or equal to the traditional car;
3. The price cannot be higher than the current traditional car;
4. Can not let users generate mileage anxiety.
To say the first point, in theory, electric vehicles only need battery packs, motors, battery management systems, mechanical transmission systems, bodywork, interior bodies and other components; therefore, their vehicle structure is even simpler than traditional fuel vehicles, and even The gearbox is no longer needed and the speed can be achieved by motor speed regulation.
Therefore, once the electric vehicle is mass-produced, its use and maintenance are even more convenient than traditional cars. Due to the simple structure, the probability of relative problems will further decrease as the technical means matures. Reliable.
In addition to reliability, electric vehicles still have technical bottlenecks in terms of cruising range, selling price, and mileage anxiety. This bottleneck is undoubtedly a battery. Under the premise that battery technology cannot break through the bottleneck of storage in the short term, manufacturers must use other mature technical means to maximize the mileage of electric vehicles.
In fact, for electric vehicles, batteries are equivalent to gasoline in traditional cars. Gasoline converts thermal energy into kinetic energy, while electric vehicles convert electrical energy into kinetic energy. The energy properties are different, but the principle is the same. Therefore, auto manufacturers do not necessarily need to actually manufacture batteries in the future, because this is not the strength of auto manufacturers. For example, do you want a host factory to do the work that PetroChina wants now, is it reasonable?
Of course, it is not a bad thing for traditional automakers to master battery technology, but in the capital market, it can be realized by means of capital (such as direct merger, this case is in the automotive industry, the ten hand index does not come), and may not directly participate. Among them, such time cost is much higher than the investment of capital cost, and the battle line is too long, it loses the best opportunity to cut.
Therefore, we will further introduce a problem, that is, if you do not make a battery, what is the most important thing for traditional car manufacturers to do?
Siren Horn,Alarm Horn,Police Horn
Chinasky Electronics Co., Ltd. , https://www.chinaskyswitches.com